Why Immunotherapy Works for Some Cholangiocarcinoma’s and Not Others
Immunotherapy in cholangiocarcinoma works for some patients, but not others.

by Steve Holmes
Founder, Cholangio.org
Founder, Cholangiocarcinoma Foundation Australia
The cure is in the cause.
When we understand the cause, prevention becomes possible, and response improves.
Two-Part Series
Part One: Cold tumours and dMMR
Why most tumours are not seen, and why a small group are visible from the beginning.
Part Two: From cause to action
How dMMR arises, and what to do when it is present.
PART ONE
Understanding why most tumours remain invisible, and how dMMR creates tumours that the immune system can clearly see.
Cold Tumours
Most cholangiocarcinomas are described as cold tumours.
Cold means:
→ the immune system is not recognising the tumour
→ so is not attacking it
They remain largely invisible.
But that leads to the question that matters:
Why are they invisible?
The Biology Of A Cold Tumour
These cells form a protective layer between the duct tissue and the constant flow of bile.
Because of where they sit, they are continuously exposed to:
- Chemical stress
- Pressure
- Inflammation
Injury is common.
It is part of normal function.
But what matters is repetition.
When injury happens again and again:
- The cell does not fully recover
- The immune system is constantly responding
Over time, that response can fall behind.
When that happens:
- Damage can reach inside the cell
- Including the genes within the nucleus
Think of DNA as the cell’s instruction system.
Inside the nucleus, genes carry those instructions that guide how the cell functions and stays stable.
Each gene is like a page of those instructions.
But when injury reaches the DNA:
- Those instructions can be damaged
- They are no longer read correctly
This creates a mutation.
Most mutations are small.
On their own, they do very little and are easy for the body to miss.
This is where repetition becomes the problem.
With repeated injury:
- More cells are affected
- More mutations accumulate
- More daughter cells carry those mutations forward
But here is the critical point. These mutations are:
- Scattered
- Unrelated
- Low in number
They do not combine to create a strong signal.
So, when does it become cancer?
A single mutated cell is not cancer.
Cancer begins when mutated cells:
- Group together
- Organise into a structure that the body can no longer control
This structure is the tumour.
Why does the immune system not respond
Because the cell mutations in the tumour are:
- Small
- Inconsistent
- Uncoordinated
The signal remains weak, so even though something is wrong:
- The tumour is not clearly seen
- And the immune system does not react
Anchor in this understanding
A quiet process that does not trigger an alarm.
The problem is not that nothing is happening.
The problem is: nothing is being clearly seen.
Think Of A City
A small, scattered gathering of abnormal, mutated cells is happening inside it.
Each is:
- Quiet
- Different
- Spread out
- Staying out of sight
Each abnormal cell creates only a small disruption.
But no single event is enough to trigger a response.
So:
- No alarm sounds
- No system reacts
- No action is taken
From the outside, everything appears stable.
Quiet does not mean safe
Most cholangiocarcinomas are cold tumours.
This means they do not produce a strong, shared signal that the immune system can clearly recognise.
They are typically low in mutation burden.
Instead, they carry a diverse mix of mutations that do not combine into a clear signal.
But that does not make them less dangerous.
They develop in an environment where:
- Early growth causes few symptoms
- Immune detection is limited
- Changes are not easily seen
Because they remain:
- Low signal
- poorly recognised
- largely invisible
They are not detected early.
Time becomes their advantage
While the tumour is not being seen:
- It continues to grow
- It continues to adapt
- It continues to spread
Nothing interrupts it.
Nothing slows it down.
By the time it is detected:
It is already advanced
Anchor in this understanding
A cold tumour exists under the radar.
Its cells are not clearly seen by the immune system
because they do not produce a strong, shared signal.
These tumours are not dangerous because they are aggressive early.
They are dangerous because they are not seen.
Why this matters in immunotherapy treatment response
Immunotherapy does not create a response.
It releases one that is already there.
It works by:
→ releasing the brakes on an existing immune response
PD-L1 often reflects that T cells are, or have been, present in the tumour.
This means:
→ the immune system has already recognised something abnormal
But in a cold tumour:
→ there has been very little or no immune response, nothing to release
So blocking PD-1:
→ changes very little
What creates these cold tumours
In the bile ducts, cells exist in a constant state of exposure.
They are affected by:
- Bile composition
- Pressure
- Inflammation
Together, these create repeated irritation to the epithelial lining.
With each injury:
- The cell is damaged
- That damage can reach the DNA inside the nucleus
If the damage is not repaired, mutations form
This is how most tumours develop
Over time:
- Mutations accumulate
- Cells divide
- Altered cells group together
This is how a tumour forms.
The dMMR pathway
Not all tumours follow this path.
A small group begin differently.
They are not:
- Quiet
- Low signal
- Difficult to detect
They are visible from the beginning.
This is not a tumour type that becomes visible.
It is a tumour that was built differently from the start.
This is the dMMR pathway.
A critical distinction
Cold tumours do not naturally become visible.
They remain difficult for the immune system to recognise.
This is what makes cholangiocarcinoma so difficult to treat.
Attempts to turn cold tumours into “hot” tumours are trying to overcome this biology.
It is not what normally occurs.
dMMR a different starting point
A different starting point
A small group of tumours are different from the beginning.
They are not:
- Quiet
- Low signal
- Difficult to detect
They are visible from the start.
This is not a tumour changing state.
It is a tumour that was built differently from the beginning.
This is the dMMR pathway.
Anchor in this understanding
Most patients are not “failing immunotherapy”.
Their tumour was never visible to begin with.
What this represents
In these tumours, the repair system inside the cell has failed.
This changes the nature of the mutations completely.
They are no longer:
- Small
- Scattered
- Unrelated
They become:
- Large structural errors
- Repeated patterns
- Highly abnormal sequences
And they accumulate quickly.
What this creates
- A strong, consistent signal
- One the immune system can recognise
A small group of cholangiocarcinomas, around 2.5%, behave this way.
They are visible from the beginning.
What this means
These tumours often grow quickly.
But:
- They can also respond to immunotherapy
- Sometimes dramatically
- And enduring
This is why right action becomes critical.
What changes inside the cell
What changes inside the cell
To understand why this happens, we need to look inside the cell.
Think of DNA like a written document that is copied over and over again.
Each time it is copied:
→ small mistakes can occur
Normally, there is a system running in the background.
It:
- Finds mistakes
- Corrects them
- Keeps the sequence stable
But if that system fails:
- Mistakes are no longer corrected
- They begin to accumulate
At first, this may seem small.
But very quickly:
- The structure of the sequence changes
- The meaning begins to break
And eventually:
The information becomes distorted and unreliable
Bring it back to the tumour
This is what is happening inside the cells that form the tumour.
How the repair system works
Inside the cell’s nucleus, there is a system that protects DNA as it is copied.
This system is called:
The Mismatch Repair (MMR) system
Its role is simple:
- Find errors
- Fix errors
- Keep the sequence stable
It is built from four key genes:
MLH1
MSH2
MSH6
PMS2
They work together in pairs.
Detection team
MSH2 + MSH6
- They scan the DNA
- They find copying errors
Repair team
MLH1 + PMS2
They remove the error
They repair the sequence
When this system fails
If one of these genes is lost or switched off:
the process breaks
Errors are no longer repaired.
They begin to accumulate.
This is called:
dMMR (deficient mismatch repair)
What this leads to
The DNA sequence becomes unstable.
Errors are no longer controlled.
The structure of the genetic code begins to break down.
What happens next
Without repair, copying errors build up quickly.
These are not small changes.
They disrupt the structure of the DNA sequence.
This creates:
- Instability in the genetic code
- Repeated errors
- Increasing disruption over time
What patients may see on their report
You may see terms such as:
dMMR
pMMR
dMMR (deficient mismatch repair)
This means:
- The repair system is not working
- Errors are not being corrected
- Mutations accumulate quickly
pMMR (proficient mismatch repair)
This means:
- The repair system is working
- Errors are still being corrected
The link to MSI
When the repair system fails, another feature appears.
This is called:
→ MSI (Microsatellite Instability)
Microsatellites are short, repeated sections of DNA.
Think of a sequence like:
“cat cat cat cat cat”
These regions are naturally prone to copying errors.
When the repair system is working:
- Errors are corrected
- The sequence remains stable
When the repair system fails:
- The copying process slips
- The number of repeats changes
You might get:
“cat cat cat cat”
or
“cat cat cat cat cat cat”
The sequence becomes unstable.
What this means
This instability is called:
→ microsatellite instability (MSI)
When this occurs across many regions of DNA:
→ it is called MSI-High (MSI-H)
MSI is the visible footprint of repair failure.
These unstable regions are where many frameshift mutations occur.
How these terms relate
How these terms relate
dMMR and MSI are not separate ideas.
They are part of the same process.
- dMMR = the repair system has failed
- MSI-High = the visible result of that failure
So when you see:
- dMMR
- MSI-High
They are telling you the same underlying story:
The repair system is not working, and errors are accumulating.
Why this matters
This rapid accumulation of errors drives:
- Large structural mutations
- Abnormal protein fragments
- Strong signals that the immune system can recognise
This is what makes these tumours visible.
What kind of errors form
When the repair system fails, the errors that build up are not small.
They change the structure of the DNA sequence itself.
These are called:
→ frameshift mutations
Think of it like this
A simple sentence:
“The cat ate the rat”
Now shift the structure slightly:
“The cta aet thr at”
The letters are still there.
But the structure has changed.
The meaning is lost.
What this means inside the cell
DNA is read in a fixed sequence.
When that sequence shifts:
Everything that follows is misread
- This produces:
Broken instructions - Abnormal proteins
- Structures that no longer function correctly
Why this changes everything
These abnormal proteins are processed inside the cell.
Fragments of them are displayed on the cell surface.
If the DNA is normal:
- The fragments look normal
- The immune system ignores them
If the DNA is disrupted
- The fragments look abnormal
- The immune system recognises them
In dMMR tumours:
- Many abnormal fragments are produced
- Strong signals are displayed
This is why:
the tumour becomes visible
How the immune system sees the tumour
The abnormal DNA created by frameshift mutations is still used by the cell.
It is translated into proteins.
Cells use proteins to build and run everything inside them.
When proteins are made, small fragments are displayed on the surface of the cell.
These fragments are called:
→ peptides
Think of these as ID tags
Each peptide shows the immune system:
→ what is happening inside the cell
If the DNA is normal:
→ the peptides look normal
→ the immune system ignores the cell
If the DNA is disrupted:
→ the peptides look abnormal
→ the immune system recognises that something is wrong
What happens in dMMR tumours
Because frameshift mutations are common:
- Many abnormal proteins are produced
- Many abnormal peptides are displayed
This creates:
→ a strong and consistent signal
Why this matters
For the first time:
→ the tumour is clearly visible to the immune system
The Critical Problem
Seeing is not the same as destroying.
The immune system can now recognise the tumour.
It can see the abnormal peptides.
It can detect that something is wrong.
But it does not automatically attack.
The immune brake
T cells are the immune system’s attack cells.
When they recognise abnormal peptides, they are activated to respond.
But before they act, they check for a signal.
This system is regulated by:
- PD-1 (on the T cell)
- PD-L1 (on other cells, including tumour cells)
What PD-1 does
PD-1 acts as a control switch.
When it is activated:
→ the T cell slows down
→ or stops completely
It applies a brake.
This system exists for a reason.
It protects normal tissue from damage.
It prevents the immune system from overreacting.
How tumours use this system
Tumour cells can produce PD-L1.
When PD-L1 binds to PD-1:
→ the T cell is switched off
So even though the T cell can see the tumour:
→ it is being told not to act
What this means in dMMR tumours
Now we bring all the pieces together.
dMMR creates:
→ large numbers of abnormal mutations
→ abnormal proteins
→ abnormal peptides displayed on the cell surface
This makes the tumour:
→ clearly visible to the immune system
As a result:
→ T cells recognise the tumour
→ they move into the tumour
→ they begin to respond
But:
→ PD-L1 is activated
→ PD-1 is engaged
→ the brake is applied
What this creates
The tumour becomes:
visible, but protected
As the immune system responds:
→ the tumour increases PD-L1
→ the brake is reinforced
So the system reaches a balance:
→ recognition is present
→ but action is suppressed
Why this matters
This is why some tumours continue to grow:
→ even when the immune system can see them
Where immunotherapy changes the outcome
Immunotherapy targets the brake.
Drugs such as pembrolizumab and nivolumab:
→ block PD-1
This prevents PD-L1 from activating the brake on the T cell.
What happens next
Now:
→ the T cell can still see the tumour
→ but it is no longer being stopped
The attack continues.
Why this is the turning point
For the first time:
→ visibility is present
→ the immune system is active
→ and the brake cannot stop it
What this allows
→ recognise the tumour
→ continue attacking the tumour
Anchor In This Understanding
Immunotherapy does not create a response.
It releases one that is already there.
The turning point
Visibility alone is not enough.
The immune system must be able to act.
If the tumour is visible:
→ but the PD-1 brake is engaged
→ the response is stopped
If the tumour is visible:
→ and the PD-1 brake is blocked
→ the response continues
The line to hold
dMMR makes the tumour visible.
PD-1, when engaged, stops the immune response.
Immunotherapy blocks this brake.
This allows the immune system to continue its attack.
The three conditions that must align
Most cholangiocarcinoma tumours do not respond to immunotherapy.
This is not random.
It depends on whether three conditions are present at the same time.
1. The tumour must be visible
The tumour must produce strong abnormal signals.
This comes from:
→ a high number of mutations
→ abnormal proteins
→ abnormal peptides displayed on the cell surface
Without this:
→ the immune system has very little to recognise
2. The immune system must already be present
T cells must be:
→ inside the tumour
→ recognising something abnormal
Without this:
→ there is no response to release
3. The response must be blocked
The immune system must be:
→ active
→ but held back
This occurs when:
→ PD-1 is engaged
→ the brake is applied
Without this:
→ there is nothing for immunotherapy to remove
These conditions are not independent.
They are connected.
Bringing it all together
For immunotherapy to work, all three must align.
When these three align:
→ the system is already active
→ but being held back
What immunotherapy does
It removes the brake.
The existing response continues.
Why PD-L1 alone is not enough
PD-L1 is often measured.
Higher levels can indicate that:
→ T cells are present
→ the immune system has recognised something abnormal
→ the tumour is applying the brake
But this is not enough on its own.
PD-L1 tells you:
→ the brake may be engaged
It does not tell you:
→ how strong the underlying immune response is
What patients need to understand
PD-L1 can appear in different situations.
It may reflect a genuine immune response.
But it can also appear when:
→ inflammation has triggered it without strong tumour recognition
→ only part of the tumour is expressing it
→ T cells are present but weak or exhausted
→ there are not enough abnormal signals
Anchor In This Understanding
PD-L1 shows the brake.
It does not show the strength of the attack.
Bringing It Together
For immunotherapy to work, the system must already be active.
These conditions must align.
This is the moment that matters.
When these occur together:
→ the immune system can already see the tumour
→ it has already moved in
→ it is already trying to act
But:
→ it is being stopped
The moment that changes the outcome
When immunotherapy is introduced:
→ the brake is blocked
→ the response continues
What defines this biology
This is why the most responsive tumours often show:
→ dMMR or MSI-High
→ high mutation load
→ higher PD-L1 expression
These are not separate findings.
They are signs that the system is aligned.
What this means in practice
When these conditions are present:
→ immunotherapy can unlock a powerful and durable ongoing response
When these conditions are not present:
→ removing the brake changes very little
What This Means for a Patient
Most cholangiocarcinoma tumours will not respond to immunotherapy.
This is not random.
It depends on whether the system you have just seen is present.
The key questions
Not:
Do I have PD-L1?
But:
Is my tumour visible, and is my immune system already trying to act?
What testing is trying to answer
Doctors look for signs that the system is aligned:
→ dMMR or MSI-High
→ tumour mutation burden (TMB)
→ PD-L1 expression
These are not independent results.
They are parts of the same system.
How to understand your results
dMMR:
→ suggests high mutation load
→ increased visibility
MSI-High:
→ reflects widespread instability
→ supports the presence of strong abnormal signals
PD-L1:
→ suggests the immune system is present
→ but being held back
Final point to carry
Immunotherapy only works when a response is already present.
PART TWO: Application
Estimated date of publishing: Mid April 2026
“A response is only meaningful if it lasts.”
Part One has shown you how this system works.
You have seen:
→ why most tumours remain invisible
→ how dMMR creates visibility
→ why immunotherapy only works when the system is already engaged
What comes next
Understanding the system is only the first step.
Part Two moves from understanding to application.
We will now answer three critical questions:
How does dMMR arise?
What causes the repair system to fail?
Why pembrolizumab (Keytruda) can deliver durable multi-year responses in dMMR tumours
What makes the outcome different when the system is aligned?
What should you do with this information?
How do you use this understanding when making treatment decisions?
A necessary distinction
This is not a superficial comparison.
Pembrolizumab and nivolumab both target the same pathway.
But they do not behave identically.
What matters is not the pathway alone.
What matters is what each produces over time.
Architecture
Where this fits
This article is part of a broader survival system developed through Cholangio.org.
Doctrines of Cholangio
Developed by Steve Holmes
The biological and cognitive pathway
The foundational thinking behind the system
↓
Cholangio.org OS
Systemising cholangiocarcinoma
Turning understanding into a structured response
↓
How We Win
The public application of the system
Activating a patient-led survival response
↓
The Survival System
The framework driving the Foundation
Coordinating action across patients, caregivers, and clinicians
↓
The Three Survival Disciplines
The human interface
How a patient engages and responds within the system
The Patient Navigator Journal
Cholangio.org builds the pathway.
The Patient Navigator Journal helps patients travel it.
This free guide helps patients and caregivers organise tests, track results, prepare questions and navigate cholangiocarcinoma step by step.
Download your free journal here:

Disclaimer
This article is for educational purposes only.
It is designed to help patients and caregivers understand the biology of cholangiocarcinoma and how immunotherapy works.
It is not medical advice and does not replace discussion with your treating team.
Every patient’s situation is different. Treatment decisions should always be made in consultation with qualified medical professionals.
Attribution
This work represents original patient-led frameworks and educational models developed by Steve Holmes through Cholangio.org.
Unauthorised reproduction or adaptation without attribution undermines the integrity of this work and the patients it is designed to support.
Please credit the original source when sharing or referencing.
cholangio.org/immunotherapy-cholangiocarcinoma
Support this work
This is independent, patient-led work.
If it has helped you or someone you care about, you can support its continued development through the Cholangiocarcinoma Foundation Australia.

